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Rethinking anthropometric risk: non-linear associations between body indices and carotid plaque

This study of Lithuanian adults reveals that the associations between anthropometric indices (ABSI, BRI, and BMI) and carotid plaque prevalence are complex and non-linear, particularly in men, where lower index values did not consistently indicate lower cardiovascular risk and often coincided with higher metabolic abnormalities.

Original authors: Ignas Badaras, Roma Puronaite, Egidija Rinkuniene, Vytautas Kasiulevicius, Jolita Badariene, Vilma Dzenkeviciute

Published 2026-07-10
📖 5 min read🧠 Deep dive

Original authors: Ignas Badaras, Roma Puronaite, Egidija Rinkuniene, Vytautas Kasiulevicius, Jolita Badariene, Vilma Dzenkeviciute

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

Imagine your body is a house, and your heart's blood vessels are the plumbing pipes running through the walls. For a long time, doctors thought the easiest way to check if those pipes were getting clogged with gunk (plaque) was to just look at how big the house was. They used a simple ruler called BMI (Body Mass Index) to guess if you were "too big" and therefore at risk.

But this new study, led by researchers from Vilnius University, suggests that looking at the size of the house isn't enough. In fact, it might be misleading! They decided to test some new, smarter rulers: ABSI (A Body Shape Index) and BRI (Body Roundness Index). These tools try to measure not just how big you are, but how you are shaped—specifically, where your fat is hiding.

The Big Surprise: "Skinny" Doesn't Always Mean "Safe"

The researchers looked at over 6,700 people in Lithuania (men aged 40–54 and women aged 50–64) who were getting checked for heart disease. They used ultrasound machines to see if these people had plaque in their neck arteries (the pipes leading to the brain).

Here is the twist that flips the old idea on its head: Being "normal" or "small" didn't always mean your pipes were clean.

  • The Old Rule: Think of BMI like a weight limit on an elevator. The heavier you are, the more likely you are to break the elevator.
  • The New Finding: The study found that in both men and women, the group with the lowest BMI (the "normal weight" group) actually had the highest rate of clogged pipes!
    • For men, 56.3% of the normal-weight group had plaque.
    • For women, a whopping 64.0% of the normal-weight group had plaque.
    • Meanwhile, as people got heavier (into the "overweight" and "obese" categories), the plaque rates actually went down.

It's like finding that the smallest cars in the parking lot are the ones with the most rust, while the big, heavy trucks are shiny and new. The researchers suggest this might be because some people who look "skinny" on the outside are actually hiding a "metabolic mess" on the inside—like a house that looks tidy from the street but has a leaking roof and broken wiring inside. They call this a "metabolically unfavorable phenotype," which is a fancy way of saying their bodies are struggling even if they aren't big.

The Shape Matters More Than the Size

When the researchers switched to their new rulers, the story got even more interesting, especially for the men in the study.

1. The "Roundness" Ruler (BRI):
For men, the Body Roundness Index showed a weird pattern. The men who were the least round (the lowest quartile) had the highest plaque rates (49.6%). As they got rounder, the risk actually dropped. It's as if being a little bit round was safer than being very thin in this specific group.

2. The "Shape" Ruler (ABSI):
This one was the most consistent, but still tricky. For men, the A Body Shape Index (which measures how much fat is around the middle) showed that the men with the highest ABSI scores had the most plaque (50.2%). This matches the old idea that belly fat is bad.
However, there was a catch: The men with the lowest ABSI scores also had a surprisingly high amount of plaque (44.4%), almost as bad as the highest group. The relationship wasn't a straight line; it was a "U" shape. The middle group was actually the safest.

Why Did This Happen?

The authors suggest that the people with the "low" scores (the thin ones or the ones with low roundness) might be suffering from something called sarcopenia or hidden metabolic trouble. Imagine a car that looks small and light, but the engine is sputtering and the oil is dirty. Even though the car is light, it's still broken.

In the study, the people in the lowest quartiles for these indices had higher rates of:

  • High triglycerides (fats in the blood)
  • Low "good" cholesterol
  • High blood sugar
  • High blood pressure

So, a "favorable" body shape might just be a mask hiding a struggling engine.

What About the Women?

The study found that for women, the results were a bit different. The new shape rulers (ABSI and BRI) didn't show a clear, statistically significant link to plaque in the same way they did for men. However, the BMI result was the same: the normal-weight women had the highest plaque rates (64.0%).

The Bottom Line

This study doesn't say that being overweight is "good" or that we should ignore weight. Instead, it suggests that we can't just rely on one number to tell us if our heart pipes are safe.

  • What it rules out: It argues against the simple idea that "lower body size always equals lower heart risk."
  • What it suggests: It suggests that people who look healthy on the outside might still have serious heart risks hidden inside.
  • The Takeaway: To really know if your "plumbing" is safe, doctors might need to stop just measuring your size and start looking deeper at your body shape, your blood chemistry, and maybe even take a picture of your arteries, because the smallest house might have the biggest problems.

The researchers are careful to say this is a "snapshot" in time (a cross-sectional study), so they can't prove that being thin caused the plaque, but they definitely show that the two are linked in a complex, non-linear way that we need to rethink.

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