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Assessing Health Insurance Coverage and the determinants of non-enrollment among adults in rural Tanzania. A cross-sectional study in Mlimba District

A cross-sectional study conducted in Mlimba District, Tanzania, reveals that health insurance non-enrollment among adults is critically high at 94.5%, with only government employment and the presence of chronic illness identified as significant factors associated with lower rates of non-enrollment.

Original authors: Egron S Ntibabara, Gervas F Mbuligwe, Lucas J Mitungo, Miraji A Mlala, Agnes H Mpogo, Andrew S Mushi, Jackline L Mwakilima, Grace Y Mduma, Prince A Moshi, Egius H Mwombeki, Jovin R Tibenderana, Erick
Published 2026-09-02
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Original authors: Egron S Ntibabara, Gervas F Mbuligwe, Lucas J Mitungo, Miraji A Mlala, Agnes H Mpogo, Andrew S Mushi, Jackline L Mwakilima, Grace Y Mduma, Prince A Moshi, Egius H Mwombeki, Jovin R Tibenderana, Erick Luta, Archie Hellar, Philbert Balichene Madoshi, Albino Kalolo

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

In many parts of the world, paying for a doctor's visit is a matter of immediate cash. A family must decide whether to spend money on food or on medicine, often delaying care until a minor illness becomes a crisis. Health insurance is designed to change this dynamic. Instead of paying only when sick, people contribute small amounts of money regularly into a shared pool. When someone needs care, the insurance pays the bill, protecting the family from sudden financial ruin. This system works best when almost everyone is part of the pool, spreading the cost of illness across the healthy and the sick alike. However, in many rural areas, few people join these schemes. They often rely on paying directly out of their own pockets, leaving them vulnerable to poverty if a serious health problem strikes. Understanding why people choose not to join, or cannot afford to join, is essential for governments trying to build a system where everyone has access to care without going broke.

Researchers recently traveled to Mlimba District in rural Tanzania to investigate this exact problem. This area is largely agricultural, with most residents working for themselves on small farms or in local trades rather than holding steady jobs with regular paychecks. The team wanted to know how many adults in this district were covered by health insurance and, more importantly, why so many were not. They conducted a survey in December 2025, speaking directly with 201 adults in their homes and community spaces. Using a digital tool to record answers, they asked about age, education, job type, and whether the person had a long-term illness like diabetes or high blood pressure. They also asked if the person knew insurance existed, if they could afford the fees, and what they thought of the local hospitals. The goal was to find the specific reasons that kept people outside the safety net of health insurance.

The results painted a stark picture of the situation on the ground. Out of the 201 people surveyed, nearly all of them—94.5 percent—were not enrolled in any health insurance scheme. This means that for the vast majority of adults in this district, a trip to the doctor still requires cash in hand at the moment of service. The researchers found that this lack of coverage was not random; it followed specific patterns tied to how people lived and worked. The most significant factor was employment. Those who worked for the government were far more likely to be insured because their jobs automatically deduct money for insurance. In contrast, the self-employed and unemployed, who make up the bulk of the population in this rural district, were almost entirely uninsured. Their income is often irregular, making it difficult to commit to regular payments.

Another surprising finding was that having a chronic illness actually made people more likely to join an insurance plan. Those living with long-term conditions like hypertension or diabetes were significantly more likely to be enrolled than those who were healthy. This suggests that when people know they will need frequent medical care, they see the value in insurance as a way to manage those costs. However, for the healthy majority, the perceived need was low, and the cost felt too high. The study also looked at other common reasons people might skip insurance, such as not knowing it existed, thinking the fees were too expensive, or believing the local hospitals provided poor service. While these factors mattered in simple comparisons, the detailed analysis showed that once the researchers accounted for employment and health status, these other factors did not independently explain the lack of enrollment. In other words, even if people knew about insurance or thought the service was good, they still did not join if they were self-employed and healthy.

The study concludes that simply passing a law to make insurance mandatory is not enough to solve the problem. The researchers found that structural barriers, specifically the nature of work in rural Tanzania, are the primary drivers of non-enrollment. Most people in Mlimba work for themselves without a steady paycheck, and the current system does not easily accommodate their financial reality. The high rate of non-enrollment among the self-employed and the healthy indicates that the system is failing to reach the very people it needs to include to be sustainable. Without changes that make insurance affordable and accessible for those with irregular incomes, a large portion of the population will remain exposed to the risk of catastrophic health costs. The findings suggest that for health insurance to truly work in this setting, policies must adapt to the lives of the people they are meant to serve, rather than expecting the people to fit into a rigid system designed for steady-wage earners.

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