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Medium-term height growth benefits of staple food subsidies: a quasi-experimental analysis of the Indonesia Family Life Survey

Using a quasi-experimental analysis of the Indonesia Family Life Survey, this study demonstrates that Indonesia's RASKIN rice subsidy program significantly improved medium-term height outcomes for children aged 8–18, with benefits being particularly pronounced in rural areas and households lacking access to piped or purchased drinking water.

Original authors: Nadja Hartmann, Fabienne Pradella, Sabine Gabrysch, Reyn van Ewijk

Published 2026-09-10
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Original authors: Nadja Hartmann, Fabienne Pradella, Sabine Gabrysch, Reyn van Ewijk

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). ✨ This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

Every child's body carries a silent record of their early years, written not in words but in inches. When a child does not receive enough nutritious food over a long period, their growth slows down, and they end up shorter than they would have been. This condition, known as stunting, is more than just a matter of height; it is a sign that a child's development has been hampered by chronic hunger. In many parts of the world, governments try to fix this by making basic foods cheaper. They offer subsidies on staples like rice, hoping that lower prices will allow families to buy more food and, in turn, help their children grow taller. For decades, scientists have known that these programs can help very young children, but a crucial question remained unanswered: do these benefits last? Does a child who eats subsidized rice as a toddler continue to grow taller years later, or does the effect fade away as they enter school and adolescence?

A team of researchers set out to answer this question by looking at the long-term history of families in Indonesia. They focused on a massive government program called RASKIN, which began in 1998 to provide cheap rice to low-income households. The researchers had access to a unique treasure trove of data: the Indonesia Family Life Survey, which has tracked the same families over and over again for more than twenty years. This allowed them to look at children between the ages of eight and eighteen and see how their height compared to whether their family had received subsidized rice in the past. To make sure they were seeing the true effect of the rice and not just the general poverty of a family, they used a clever comparison. They looked at siblings within the same household. Because the program started when some children were already born and others were not, one sibling might have grown up with access to the cheap rice while their older or younger brother or sister did not. By comparing these siblings, the researchers could isolate the impact of the food subsidy from other family factors like parental education or income.

The study found that the benefits of the rice subsidy did indeed last. Children who had been exposed to the subsidized rice in earlier years were taller than their siblings who had not been exposed. Specifically, the children who had received the food aid had height scores that were slightly higher, and they were less likely to be stunted. The researchers calculated that the prevalence of stunting was nearly five percentage points lower among those who had received the subsidy in the past. This suggests that the extra nutrition gained from the program helped children not just in the moment, but continued to support their growth well into their teenage years. The program also succeeded in its immediate goal: families that bought the subsidized rice reported having access to a more diverse diet at the time they received it.

However, the story is not the same for every family. The researchers discovered that the benefits were not spread evenly across all groups. The growth gains were much more pronounced for children living in rural areas compared to those in cities. In the countryside, where food is often harder to come by and markets are distant, the subsidy made a bigger difference. Similarly, the program helped most those families who did not have access to clean, piped, or purchased drinking water. For these households, the extra food seemed to provide a crucial boost to growth. Surprisingly, the study found that the benefits did not depend on how rich or poor a family was, nor did they depend on how much education the mother had. The subsidy helped children across the economic spectrum, and it helped boys and girls equally.

This research challenges the idea that food aid is only a short-term fix. It shows that providing cheap staple foods can leave a lasting mark on a child's physical development, years after the food was actually eaten. Yet, the findings also highlight that the environment matters. The subsidy worked best where other basic needs, like clean water and reliable food access, were lacking. In places where families already had better infrastructure, the extra rice did not lead to the same growth spurt. The authors suggest that while food subsidies are a powerful tool, they work best when targeted toward the specific vulnerabilities of a community. For policymakers, this means that to truly end hunger and ensure healthy growth, aid programs must be designed with a clear understanding of where the greatest needs lie, ensuring that the most vulnerable children receive the support they need to reach their full potential.

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