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Evidence of expanding range of Culex perexiguus in Northern Italy (Emilia-Romagna, 2025)

In 2025, Emilia-Romagna, northern Italy, recorded the unexpected expansion of *Culex perexiguus*, a mosquito typically associated with arid regions and capable of transmitting West Nile virus, likely driven by climate anomalies and habitat shifts that also coincided with a decline in *Culex modestus*, thereby highlighting the need for enhanced public health monitoring.

Original authors: Mattia Calzolari, Annalisa Grisendi, Mara Scremin, Gastone Dalmonte, Emanuele Callegari, Anna Beatrice Casano, Francesco Severini, Gabriele Antolini, Alessandro Albieri, Michele Dottori

Published 2026-07-03
📖 4 min read☕ Coffee break read

Original authors: Mattia Calzolari, Annalisa Grisendi, Mara Scremin, Gastone Dalmonte, Emanuele Callegari, Anna Beatrice Casano, Francesco Severini, Gabriele Antolini, Alessandro Albieri, Michele Dottori

Original paper licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). This is an AI-generated explanation of the paper below. It is not written or endorsed by the authors. For technical accuracy, refer to the original paper. Read full disclaimer

The Big Picture: A Mosquito "Tourist" Moves North

Imagine the mosquito world as a map of neighborhoods. For a long time, a specific type of mosquito called Culex perexiguus has been a resident of the "hot, dry southern districts"—places like North Africa, the Middle East, and southern Spain. It's a sun-loving creature that usually avoids the cooler, temperate north.

However, in 2025, scientists in Emilia-Romagna (Northern Italy) found something surprising: this "southern tourist" had moved into their neighborhood. They didn't just find one or two stragglers; they found 84 of them across 22 different locations. It's as if a penguin suddenly showed up in a tropical beach resort and started building a nest.

The Detective Work: How They Knew Who It Was

Finding a new mosquito in a crowd of millions is like finding a specific needle in a haystack. The researchers had to be sure they weren't just seeing a look-alike.

  • The Visual Clues: They looked at the mosquitoes under a microscope. The new arrivals had a "uniform" that was slightly different from the local mosquitoes (Culex pipiens). They were smaller, had a pale patch behind their "ears" (postspiracular area), and a pale stripe on their back legs.
  • The DNA Fingerprint: To be 100% sure, they took a DNA test (barcoding) on 21 of the mosquitoes. The genetic results were a perfect match to Culex perexiguus from Africa and Spain, confirming these weren't just local imposters.

The "Swap": One Leaves, One Arrives

Here is the most interesting part of the story. The researchers looked back at data from 2009 to 2025. They noticed a strange trade-off happening in the mosquito population:

  • The Local Resident (Culex modestus): This mosquito, which usually likes the cooler, wetter northern areas, has been disappearing from the region. Its numbers and the number of places it lives have gone down.
  • The Newcomer (Culex perexiguus): As the local resident faded, the southern newcomer appeared and started taking its place.

The authors suggest this is like a musical chairs game driven by climate change. As the weather gets warmer, the "cool-weather" mosquito loses its seat, and the "warm-weather" mosquito moves in to take it.

Why Did They Move? (The Weather and The Habitat)

The scientists built a computer model to figure out why this happened in 2025.

  1. The Right Real Estate: The new mosquitoes love specific types of "real estate." They prefer wetlands, marshes, and muddy soil that stays wet (called Aquents). The map of Emilia-Romagna has plenty of these spots, especially in the east.
  2. The Weather Anomaly: While the soil was right, the weather in 2025 was the "green light."
    • June was unusually hot: It was about 3°C (5.4°F) warmer than the average for the last 20 years. This heat likely helped the mosquitoes hatch and grow faster.
    • Winters were milder: The winter nights were warmer than usual. Since these mosquitoes don't like deep freezes, the mild winter might have helped them survive the cold months and stay active longer.

Why Should We Care?

The paper highlights two main concerns, but keeps them grounded in what was actually observed:

  • Disease Risk: This mosquito is a known "taxi" for the West Nile Virus (WNV). In its home range (like Spain and Israel), it is a major driver of the virus. While it hasn't caused a massive outbreak in Northern Italy yet, its arrival means the virus has a new, efficient driver in the area.
  • Timing: The local mosquito (Culex pipiens) usually peaks in early summer. This new mosquito peaks later, in late summer and autumn. This effectively extends the "danger season" for West Nile Virus, keeping the risk window open longer than before.

The Bottom Line

This paper is a "heads-up" report. It confirms that a heat-loving mosquito has successfully moved into a temperate Italian region, likely due to warmer weather and the right kind of wet soil. It's not a panic alarm, but it is a signal that the mosquito map is changing. The scientists say we need to keep watching closely to see if this is just a one-time visit or the start of a permanent new neighborhood.

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